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Turkey bidding for greater influence in Middle East
By Shoshana Bryen
WASHINGTON, D.C. — Turkey and Brazil announced they have “brokered” a “deal” to bring some percentage of Iranian LEU (Low Enriched Uranium) to Turkey. The “deal” is a fraud-without knowing how much uranium Iran has, you cannot know how much it “lent” to Turkey and how much remains in its weapons program. And knowing that Iran has lied about every single stage of its nuclear program, we will assume it is lying about this stage as well.
So much for Iran.
But there is something compelling about a country that looks at its position, determines its interests, and changes course to achieve new objectives. Turkey has done that.
Let us be clear: we don’t have to like the direction or the choices; we don’t have to support them; and we don’t think the United States should treat Turkey as if it hadn’t made those choices. That was one reason we wrote-and strongly believe-that the Congress of the United States is the wrong place to parse and judge someone else’s history. Our Armenian friends entirely misunderstood-we were neither denying nor denigrating their history. But Congress has to be about the present and, more important, about the future. Our ongoing irritation with our Congress and our Administration is that they find it easier to pronounce on a past for which they are not responsible than to deal with present circumstances.
For the moment, it may be easier but it is shortsighted in the extreme.
After decades of resolutely secular, pro-Western economic and security policy, during which it was resolutely rejected by Europe, the Turkish government, specifically the AKP, surveyed the landscape in the absence of the Soviet Union and the apparent decline of the United States and decided to stop banging its head against a closed European door. Turkey, in their view, didn’t have to be the stepchild of Europe; it has a strong military, a good economy in regional terms and historic interests.
Turkey certainly will not give up the benefits bestowed by NATO membership and is unlikely to do anything to hamper its economic ties to the West. It is unlikely to actually sever ties with Israel while there are still benefits to be had. It simply has added new portfolios, Muslim portfolios. Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan are all Turkic, all Muslim, all post-Soviet and all amenable to leadership from Ankara (although the coup in Kyrgyzstan was a setback).
New military relations with Syria and Russia, increased political relations with Iran, the hosting of Hamas leadership and increasingly strident rhetoric are signs of Turkey’s belief that it can do as it pleases, at least in the region.
There are those who believe Turkey is aiming to re-establish the old Ottoman Empire and others who think the goal is restoration of the Caliphate. Maybe, or maybe it is just opportunistic push back. In any case, the result is likely to be inimical to American and Western interests.
We have two thoughts: Turkey’s future choices in the region will be much more important to the United States than any possible benefit of looking backwards at the collapse of the Ottoman Empire.
Was that only one thought? Yes, it was one thought about Turkey. The second thought is about the United States.
The Turks stopped begging Europe for entry and considered their options; the United States should do no less. The clock cannot be turned back to 1948 any more than to 1915. The Obama Administration should stop begging the Palestinians to let us force Israel to manufacture a small, kleptocratic, dictatorial, terrorist-sponsoring welfare regime wedged in between two of our regional allies. Stop trying to create “two states” where three governing bodies currently exist with no likely mergers.
Stop blaming Israel for American difficulties in the region that have nothing to do with it.
Face the issues of perceived American inability to deal with radical Islamic ideology and the wars it engenders and deal with them. Face the fact that radical Islamic ideology is, at its core, forward looking-not a slap at the past, but a belief in the Islamic future. Turkey and “the Stans” are in that mix. So are Iran, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Libya and, increasingly, the failed states of Africa. Russia and China are heavily involved, and not necessarily on our side.
As with the congressional fixation on the Ottomans to the exclusion of the Turkish future, it is easier for the Administration to keep pounding on Israel for its alleged intransigence than to accept that the “peace process” is over and serious American interests for the future lie elsewhere.
It is equally shortsighted.
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Bryen is senior director of security policy of the Jewish Institute for National Security Affairs. Her column is sponsored by Waxie Sanitary Supply in memory of Morris Wax, longtime JINSA supporter and national board member.
Why would U.S. want Afghan pilots trained in Lebanon or Syria?
By Shoshana Bryen
WASHINGTON, D.C — The U.S. Department of the Army put out a request for information on “Afghanistan National Army Air Corps English and Pilot Training.”
The Program Executive Office for Simulation, Training & Instrumentation (PEO STRI) is conducting market research by seeking sources with innovative business solutions to (1) train and certify up to 67 Afghani student pilots to an International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) English level 4 in the English language; and (2) provide basic rotary wing or fixed wing Commercial Pilot Training to the European Joint Aviation Authority (JAA) standards.
It is desired that the English language and basic pilot training take place within South West Asia. PEO STRI requests information on sources available to perform training in Afghanistan, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Kyrgyzstan, Lebanon, Oman, Pakistan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, U.A.E, Uzbekistan, Yemen or other locations in Southwest Asia with the capability to provide requested training.
How is it possible that Syria, a charter and current member of the U.S. State Department list of terrorism-supporting countries, is considered an acceptable place to train Afghan pilots? Or Lebanon, which has Hezbollah as a member of the governing cabinet in Beirut? Hezbollah is a charter and current member of the U.S. State Department list of terrorist organizations, and until September 11, 2001, had killed more Americans than any other terrorist group. Didn’t Kyrgyzstan just have a coup inspired/financed by Russia? Wouldn’t training pro-Western Afghan pilots in Pakistan send those people from the frying pan into the fire? Isn’t Yemen home to some of the most virulently anti-American, anti-Western al Qaeda operatives and preachers, including Anwar al-Awlakiwho was talking to U.S. Army Major Nidal Hassan before he killed 13 Americans at Ft. Hood?
Aside from the fact that some of the countries listed are not in South West Asia, as the request for information requires, not one is remotely democratic. OK, we’ll give Jordan a few points and some to Iraq, but that’s it.
What would possess the United States Army to expose Afghani pilots, who are supposed to secure a functional and consensual state in Afghanistan, to countries where the governments are almost uniformly totalitarian, functionally repressive, less than hospitable to reform or dissent, and have women in positions of legal inferiority? Saudi Arabia is the financier of a particularly repressive, homophobic, misogynistic and anti-Semitic form of Islam exported around the world.
We did not expect to see Israel on the list, although Israel certainly is capable of training pilots to the European Joint Aviation Authority standards, and a few months in Israel would impart some Western governmental, judicial and social norms, including religious and political tolerance.
But if not Israel, why not Britain or Italy or France or Spain or Portugal? Why not Denmark or Colombia or Mali or Uruguay? Why not India or Indonesia or Taiwan or Japan?
The list is clearly weighted toward the part of the world to which President Obama wishes to show American comity. Unfortunately, it is also a part of the world in which neither American policies nor American values are particularly welcome items on the agenda. The list and the thinking behind it are political mistakes that should be corrected. Certainly, they should be corrected before we give the Afghanis the idea that the norms of Syria and Lebanon are ones we want them to adopt.
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Bryen is senior director of security policy of the Jewish Institute for National Security Affairs. Her column is sponsored by Waxie Sanitary Supply in memory of Morris Wax, longtime JINSA supporter and national board member
Troubles called Yvette
JERUSALEM–Patrick Martin, the Middle East correspondent of the Globe and Mail (www.theglobeandmail.com), published on February 5 an article with the ominous title, “Is this Israel’s calm before the storm?” Pointing to the relative tranquility of the first year of the Netanyahu government, Martin cites observers who recall other calm periods before wars, notably the 1973 Yom Kippur War and the 1987 Palestinian intifada. He refers to reliable analysts who say that something similar may happen soon again.
The February 7 edition of the Huffington Post (www.huffingtonpost.com) has a long essay by Sharmine Narwani, political analyst and senior associate of St. Anthony’s College, Oxford. She writes in a similar vein, suggesting that as the 2006 Lebanon War was the first not to yield total victory to Israel, its political leaders are “itching for a ‘do-over’.” As “the cornerstone of Israel’s military strategy is deterrence… loss – or even perceived loss – is not an option.” It doesn’t sound quite right, but she may have a point.
Referring to recent pronouncements by Israeli politicians, Narwani concludes that “instead of self-examination, Israel’s conflicted, and increasingly right-wing political body unleashed a belligerent tone – angry, defiant, threatening, unfocused like a petulant and wounded child.” (I believe that the child is called Yvette, not Israel: see below.)
In addition to the ongoing issue of peace negotiations with the Palestinians, Narwani lists five other areas of immediate concern to Israel about which “in recent weeks, Israeli officials have made inflammatory statements about conflicts.”
Syria: Foreign minister Avigdor “Yvette” Lieberman’s speech in which he threatened Assad himself and his family.
Gaza: The warnings in the wake of the Goldstone report and its aftermath that if Hamas, the rulers of Gaza, won’t watch their steps, Israel may attack again.
Lebanon: Similar warnings have been issued to the corresponding terrorist organization on Israel’s northern border (Hezbollah) that its actions that involve stockpiling of arms in Lebanon are endangering its population.
Iran: The risk of war, perhaps as concerted preemptive action backed by the United States and European countries, is the most obvious and greatest danger.
Turkey: To quote Narwani again, “things have gone from bad to worse since, culminating a month ago in the now-infamous Ayalon row when the Israeli deputy foreign minister publicly and deliberately humiliated Turkey’s ambassador in front of cameras.” Ayalon may have once known better, but he has become Yvette’s poodle.
Perhaps journalists are more in the know than ordinary citizens who read newspapers, watch TV and talk to friends. Speaking as one such a citizen it strikes me that it has more to do with ineptitude than with policy. Prime Minister Netanyahu’s first year in office may seem successful to him and to his entourage, but from where I sit, I’m not persuaded. He’s more anxious to keep his coalition together than the country safe.
In an effort to stay in power at all costs he seems to be indecisive. Even if Mrs. Netanyahu isn’t the one who sets the agenda, as some have suggested, Yvette probably does. Many of the troubles listed above are due to the latter’s kindergarten-style foreign policy. The fact that he’s shunned in most countries doesn’t seem to bother him (he’s just gone to Azerbaijan to solve the Iranian problem….), but it should bother the rest of us.
As part of my prayers for peace I hope for his speedy dismissal and/or indictment.
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Rabbi Marmur is spiritual leader emeritus of Holy Blossom Temple in Toronto. He divides his year between Canada and Israel
Israel thanks Turkey for preventing Hezbollah attack on Israeli target in Turkey
JERUSALEM (WJC)–Turkish forces prevented a Hezbollah attack on an undisclosed Israeli target in Turkey, Deputy Foreign Minister Daniel Ayalon has said, adding that he had thanked Ankara for the successful operation and for its cooperation.
According to the newspaper ‘Haaretz’, quoting Israeli defense sources, the attack was meant to avenge the killing of senior Hezbollah operative Imad Mughniyeh, who died in a car bombing in Damascus in February 2008. The Shiite terror organization has blamed Israel as responsible for the assassination.
The planned attack in Turkey was exposed over a month ago, with Turkish media publishing a warning issued by the local police’s command to its officers to take steps to prevent a Hezbollah attack on American and Israeli targets. Turkish reports said Hezbollah had set up a network of Iranian agents posing as tourists in Istanbul, with the cooperation of Iranian security agencies.
Earlier this year, Hezbollah planned an attack on the Israeli embassy in Azerbaijan, but local security forces exposed the attack and members of the group were arrested. Later on, in Egypt, a group of Hezbollah agents were arrested and accused of tracking Israelis at tourist sites as well as monitoring Israeli ships passing through the Suez Canal.
Mughniyeh served as a liaison between Hezbollah leader Nasrallah in Lebanon, and the Iranian regime.
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Preceding provided by World Jewish Congress

